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AndyRichard TreadgoldMike JowseyRichard C (NZ)Peter Yates Recent comment authors
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Peter Yates
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Peter Yates

I’m not a scientist, but I often try to remember the wise words of our old teachers :-
~ note the scientific need for extraordinary evidence;
~ ensure that your hypothesis agrees with the experiments and real-life observations;
~ record everything that would falsify your hypothesis;
~ recall the story about Kepler preferring the most precise observations, rather than his dearest illusions;
~ remember that science isn’t based on consensus or belief, and correlation does not prove causation;
~ remember that the ‘claim of consensus’ is used only in situations where the science is not solid enough.
Am I on the right track? – as they say! Are there any more similar maxims or sayings?

Richard C (NZ)
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Richard C (NZ)

Not sure what to make of this: ‘The Church of England’s satirical take on climate change’ By Dr. Jeff Mirus, CatholicCulture.org Anglican Bishop Nicholas Holtam has praised Tuesday’s statement on climate change by two pontifical academies. But this praise has all the earmarks of satire. “Climate change is the greatest moral challenge of our day,” he begins. Really? It sounds suspiciously like a material or technical challenge to me, not that those do not involve moral responses. In any case only a religious leader who has lost all sense of what Christianity means and what a moral life demands could possibly identify climate change as the “greatest” moral challenge. Coming from any other source but the Anglican Church (which never issues a moral judgment without ensuring that it has already been adopted by the dominant culture), this would clearly be recognized as satire. It is certainly more generous to classify it as satire, as we would had the bishop insisted that the recent increase in polar ice presents us with a monumental spiritual task. Moreover, understood as satire the text goes from strength to strength. Bishop Holtam says he is delighted that the… Read more »

Richard C (NZ)
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Richard C (NZ)

>”Am I on the right track?”

In ordinary circumstances you would be Peter. But the precautionary principle invoked by the man-made climate change proponents appears to gazump the normal course of science – hence the term “post-normal” science.

Another maxim I can think of, particularly applicable to climate science, is:

“It doesn’t matter how beautiful your theory is, it doesn’t matter how smart you are. If it doesn’t agree with experiment, it’s wrong.” – Richard P. Feynman

Climate science has discounted this to date but now it’s catching up with them as the graphs of models vs observations are telling, for example:

http://www.drroyspencer.com/wp-content/uploads/CMIP5-90-models-global-Tsfc-vs-obs-thru-2013.png

How the UN can get away with this model failure (which embodies the AGW theory) is beyond me. There seems to have been collective international brain lapse on the topic.

Richard C (NZ)
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Richard C (NZ)

>”I think [Dr. Jeff Mirus is] making a cogent submission to the Vatican”

If he isn’t intentionally, he certainly is unintentionally.

Richard C (NZ)
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Richard C (NZ)

‘Underwater volcano erupts off Northwest coast [Oregon USA]’ Robert, iceagenow, May 1, 2015 Axial Seamount, an active underwater volcano located about 300 miles (482 km) off the coast of Oregon and Washington, appears to be erupting, says a news release from Oregon State University. More>>>>> (see map) http://iceagenow.info/2015/05/underwater-volcano-erupts-off-northwest-coast/ At Gareth Renowden’s Hot Topic, underwater volcanoes are “magical”, “mysterious”. and “non-existent”. And of course “mainstream” climate science (think Dr Keven Trenberth) says the atmosphere effects seismicity – not the other way around. Also the main plank of nutcase Bill McGuire (author ‘Waking the Giant’) who made news on CNN recently, linking the Nepal earthquake to climate change. My first thought was that the seismic activity probably explains the Pacific “warm blob” in SST off Oregon. I’m not alone going by comments in the article above, viz.: “I surmise that Axial Seamount, along with untold numbers of other underwater volcanoes, has been heating the seas for quite some time. That could explain the record-breaking warmth – the so-called “warm blob” – in many parts of the Pacific Ocean right now.” – Robert “I suppose this could have been contributing to the “blob” this past winter… Read more »

Richard C (NZ)
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Richard C (NZ)

‘UAH V6.0 Global Temperature Update for April, 2015: +0.07 deg. C’

May 1st, 2015 by Roy W. Spencer, Ph. D.

Lower tropospheric temperature (LT) anomalies from the 30-year (1981-2010) average

http://www.drroyspencer.com/2015/05/uah-v6-0-global-temperature-update-for-april-2015-0-07-deg-c/

# # #

Strange how the “warmest month ever” is nowhere near the warmest month ever according to satellite observations.

Richard C (NZ)
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Richard C (NZ)

Vanuatu’s Prime Minister blamed cyclone Pam on “climate change”.

Now he’s demanding that ALL aid (including NGO aid) goes through him and he would change the law to achieve that:

‘Vanuatu’s prime minister demands aid is channelled through him’

TVNZ

While aid agencies are happy to work alongside governments, they don’t want to directly hand over the cash.

Video (2:00)
http://tvnz.co.nz/world-news/vanuatu-s-prime-minister-demands-aid-channelled-through-him-video-6305757

‘Cyclone Pam: Vanuatu slams aid agencies’

The Vanuatu government has slammed aid agencies swarming into the country in the aftermath of Cyclone Pam, claiming they are slowing down the process of getting help to people in need.

At a press conference on Wednesday night, national disaster committee deputy chair Benjamin Shing said he had to “state the facts” when asked about whether the country needed more help.

“If we had more teams and more support we would be able to cover more of the country. At this time we only have five teams going out and doing assessments.”

http://www.stuff.co.nz/world/south-pacific/67440364/cyclone-pam-vanuatu-slams-aid-agencies

# # #

How [not] to make friends and influence people. NGO’s have said they would walk away rather then submit to that regime.

Richard C (NZ)
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Richard C (NZ)

”Sydney storms get more intense as engineers begin to adjust to climate change’

April 29, 2015, Peter Hannam, Environment Editor, The Sydney Morning Herald

Sydney’s rain is becoming more torrential, particularly during summer, a trend researchers say will increase with further global warming and force engineers to design resilient structures that are able to limit the flood impacts.

A study of 69 rain gauges in the greater Sydney region from 1966 to 2012 found that the number of short but intense rainfall events increased, while longer-duration deluges decreased, according to research by the University of Adelaide published in Nature Climate Change on Wednesday.

http://www.smh.com.au/environment/climate-change/sydney-storms-get-more-intense-as-engineers-begin-to-adjust-to-climate-change-20150429-1mvs8h.html

# # #

They do the study NOW?

At least makes a change from Tim Flannery, prognostications of endless drought and permanent El Nino, and the critical need for billion dollar desalination plants – now relegated to expensive white elephant status.

I guess this is just an alternative interpretation of the term “climate change”.

Richard C (NZ)
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Richard C (NZ)
Richard C (NZ)
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Richard C (NZ)

‘The Sun Is ‘Blank’ As Solar Activity Comes To A Standstill’ Written by Michael Bastasch, Daily Caller on 01 May 2015. A new report from seasoned meteorologists says the sun is “almost completely blank” as the center of the solar system enters its weakest cycle in more than a century. “The main driver of all weather and climate, the entity which occupies 99.86% of all of the mass in our solar system, the great ball of fire in the sky has gone quiet again during what is likely to be the weakest sunspot cycle in more than a century,” according to Virginia-based weather forecaster Vencore Weather. “The sun’s X-ray output has flatlined in recent days and NOAA forecasters estimate a scant 1% chance of strong flares in the next 24 hours,” Vencore notes. “Not since cycle 14 peaked in February 1906 has there been a solar cycle with fewer sunspots. We are currently more than six years into Solar Cycle 24 and the current nearly blank sun may signal the end of the solar maximum phase.” “Going back to 1755, there have been only a few solar cycles in the previous 23 that… Read more »

Richard C (NZ)
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Richard C (NZ)

‘Examine scientific evidence before you make comments on climate change’ Written by Dr Phillip Bratby, Daily Echo on 01 May 2015. IT HAS been brought to my attention that for no apparent reason, in a letter of April 23, Dr Martin Rodger criticised me for having “attacked” the Royal Society and NASA in 2009 and for having “a history of climate-change denying”. I don’t know anyone who denies that the climate changes; history and geology have shown us that the climate has always changed. As a physicist with many years experience in the fields of fluid flow, heat transfer and thermal-hydraulics, I have a deep understanding of the physical processes which drive the climate. Indeed, it would be inconceivable to me that a chaotic, non-linear, multi-variate, open system such as the earth’s atmosphere, could be stable and would not change. The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (the IPCC) has stated in one of its many scientific papers that it is impossible to calculate the future state of the climate because of this chaotic nature of the climate system. In its political papers the IPCC does not admit this, but the fact that none… Read more »

Mike Jowsey
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Mike Jowsey

Well, congrats to Mrs. T. I myself am whisking my beloved away tomorrow to the idyllic travel destination of Oxford. Not the one upon Avon. It is her birthday tomorrow. We are going for a country drive, a lunch and to purchase a book she noticed there and liked the look of – Letters From the Front or Letters Home, or something like that. And then home for dinner with family. I hope Tauranga is marvelous for you two lovebirds.

Richard C (NZ)
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Richard C (NZ)

Paul Driessen tells it as it is:

‘Silencing skeptics, conservatives and free speech’

Written by Paul Driessen, 03 May 2015.

“The abuses and intolerance are becoming broader, deeper, more frightening by the day: from Christendom to Islam and Climate Orthodoxy; from universities to the Congress, Vatican, EU and United Nations.”

http://www.climatechangedispatch.com/silencing-skeptics-conservatives-and-free-speech.html

Mike Jowsey
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Mike Jowsey

Good article by Paul Driessen, thanks RC. Reminds me of this:

One of the vices of those who would repress the opinions of others is that they make themselves prisoners to their own opinions because they deny the means and the right of changing them.

– Thomas Paine (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Thomas_Paine)

Richard C (NZ)
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Richard C (NZ)

These people are ideologically driven Mike, they think their opinion reigns supreme – not much chance of a change of mind

Check out this guy Prof Peter Chisnall in a video at Bishop Hill:

‘Academic demands totalitarian response to AGW’

[BH] – “From about 20 mins, Prof Christoff makes a remarkable call for “climate denial legislation” to criminalise dissent on the issue.”

http://www.bishop-hill.net/blog/2015/5/1/academic-demands-totalitarian-response-to-agw.html

In other words, if you disagree with him you are a criminal in his mindset. Monckton’s list of Climate Nazis has plenty of these quotes except for some they prefer the punishment of death e.g.:

2012: Professor Richard Parncutt of the University of Graz, Austria, recommended the death penalty for skeptics. He later withdrew.

Read more: http://www.americanthinker.com/blog/2015/04/punishing_climate_change_deniers.html#ixzz3XEo0RGvu

Andy
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Andy

I saw a great letter in The Australian on the plane on Monday. It said something along the lines about this proposed criminalization of “denial”. ” I can no longer stand the guilt of my skepticism, and wish to hand myself into the authorities. Where can I do this?”

Andy
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Andy

Here is a fun little site
http://schatziesearthproject.com/2015/05/04/murdered-by-climate-change-deniers/

That suggests a couple of guys who got lost in the Arctic were “murdered” by climate change deniers.

Andy
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Andy

BBC Live coverage of UK elections
http://www.bbc.com/news/live/election-2015-32594267

Exciting times
Exit poll suggests Tory majority.

Andy
Guest
Andy

Lib Dems taking a thrashing in the elections. Energy Secretary Ed Davey loses his seat.

Andy
Guest
Andy

New breakthrough in solving the non-problem of ruminant methane emissions
https://agrihq.co.nz/article/breakthrough-announced-for-reducing-methane-emissions?p=7

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