About thirty years ago we first heard reports that the world was warming. The scientific papers noted that levels of atmospheric carbon dioxide were the highest recorded in the last 8 million years (or some large number, depending on the study). The language made it seem that CO2 caused the warming, but it seldom said so directly. At first.
We trusted the scientists and as more and more of these papers appeared we slowly came to accept that the planet was warming because of our CO2 emissions. After all, they were scientists and the studies kept coming out. Surely they were true. The United Nations held important meetings every year to discuss global warming. UN envoys toured nations; the Secretary General was photographed in important cities shaking hands and making speeches. Who were we to question them?
About twenty years ago we began to hear shrill cries of alarm that the warming of the world was already causing bad things. The poles were melting, polar bears declining, penguins suffering, seasons occurring earlier, seasons occurring later, species ranges were moving, diseases increasing, nasty bitey animals were increasing but cute fluffy animals were declining, our pets were depressed, coral reefs were growing and shrinking, coastal cities would disappear and there’d be more floods, more droughts, more hurricanes, more malaria and whales would lose weight.1
We were all doomed. Urgent action was needed. Give us your money.
By now, people of high curiosity everywhere, scientist and amateur alike, were investigating the claims for themselves, starting with the cause of the warming. They were surprised to quickly find discrepancies in theory and observation (though they couldn’t know it at the time, but discrepancies are numerous in this ridiculous climate saga) so they wore puzzled looks and asked penetrating questions. One of the first surprising things to come to light was that the temperature wasn’t rising as the alarmists were telling us—it was hardly rising at all! And it was not the highest temperature ever recorded.
“But sir, sir! You said the temperature was the highest ever but, sir, the Medieval Warm Period!” Open, eager for the truth. They were very soon just as puzzled when they realized that nobody else had already asked these questions, though they had the means to have known the truth earlier—politicians, scientists, doctors, clerics, teachers, industrialists, financiers, insurers and journalists.
But the shrill criers seldom gave helpful, open answers even to the most innocent questioners, resorting instead to ever more rancorous disparagements such as ‘climate denier’ or sinking to blatant propaganda like “the science is settled.” Greenpeace took the easy, if ignoble way out by announcing they would henceforth refuse even to discuss climate science, since there was no longer any debate, and they went about spreading whatever lies they liked. The curious peoples’ expressions began to harden, seeing the stakes were high, tax money was being squandered on every sort of futile eco-chumminess (weaker light bulbs to save the earth, unsustainable subsidies for wind turbines, shipping logs across the Atlantic to fuel British power stations?!) and they faced considerable opposition as they were mocked, their articles refused publication, they were fired from their jobs or forced out of their academic positions for asking questions and publishing sceptical papers.
This would take more effort than the curious ones had realized, for now they saw the serried ranks of eco-activists stretching to the horizon and their hearts quailed. How could we few curious ones prevail against so many? Would honest searching for the truth be enough?
Then about ten years ago the eco-activists began to panic.
First, the weather continued against them, failing to warm significantly, while politically, efforts had been all but fruitless. Their strident demands for joint action against this climate “plague of the world” failed to produce concerted international action. Nations were, as they always have been, fixated on their own agendas and not at all inclined to interrupt their routines unless they were to benefit. Explains all the bleating from small nations about “climate reparations”—who cares what you call it? Any reason to receive money is good. The curious ones were proving just as truculent, persistently refusing the orthodox climate story and continually asking inconvenient questions about it.
Scrambling to elevate the terror
Growth in publicly-expressed scepticism was unexpectedly rapid. Income from government subsidies and fear-driven eco-products was declining and prospects were dimming. It’s clear that plenty had in fact been happening, but it was more the silent spread of sceptical questioning and information and not, as the warmists had hoped, a hardening of resolve to cripple the oil companies and destroy big business.
On top of this, the global mean surface temperature since the 1990s had been virtually static and that inconvenient truth would shortly deal a deadly blow to the entire dangerous anthropogenic global warming (DAGW) theorem. The activists were now scrambling to elevate terror levels in the population lest the global warming movement be destroyed by the earth’s failure to warm. So almost daily we are hectored about the dire consequences if we go on as we are. The most outrageously deceptive statements are published with scant examination by our so-called journalists.
But increasingly over the last five years we have seen papers casting doubt on the DAGW hypothesis. The complex web of interacting influences on global temperature is receiving the greatest scrutiny we have ever seen. Scrutiny which should have been applied in the beginning, but better late than never.
The desire for more rigour in climate science is reaching further into management circles and now the journal Nature Climate Change has just announced:
A statement on the availability of data is now needed on all research published in Nature Climate Change.
At Nature Climate Change and the Nature journals, our policy has always been that data must be made available by the authors on request. The full policy of the Nature journals can be found online1. Our policy now requires a statement to be included in the Methods section of accepted papers on the availability of the minimum data needed to understand, replicate and build on the publication. The inclusion of a statement regarding where this data can be found and accessed makes the process more transparent.
Now on one level this simply formalises a policy already in existence. But this is a highly important change. Where before an author might refuse to give up his data or algorithm and suffer no penalty, actually publishing the location of the data makes it unnecessary to request permission. It will be out of his control. If all journals adopted this practise, the wasteful, unedifying court battle by Steve McIntyre to get hold of Michael Mann’s hockey stick data and data from other papers too, would be avoided.
A growing post
This post seemed so straightforward as I first envisaged it but it has grown (without my help) and demanded research into all kinds of things (I had not anticipated) and an extraordinary number of links. Though I might be confusing some of the work on my previous Denial at the death of El Nino (which managed to stay decently short) with this post. Welcome to my world. Anyway, instead of being a short note it has required about three days (and meant I ignored Key’s sudden resignation).
I think its theme has something to do with the deliberate deceptions practised by warmist advocates, their penetration at all levels of society, especially in western nations, and the profit they draw from pushing the false warmist ideas. But this could go on all year if I let it; let me end it now.
They must rehabilitate themselves
I’ll give Christopher Monckton the last word (he is so very good with words). In an article at Climate Depot he robustly defends his 2015 paper against warmist attacks. Why models run hot: results from an irreducibly simple climate model, by Monckton, Soon, Legates and Briggs (2015) (MSLB), challenges the prevailing view that gigantic computer models are the only way accurately to mimic the climate. The paper was harshly maligned by some warmist professors so Monckton wrote this careful piece describing the errors (even falsehoods) in their rebuttals. Christopher Monckton concludes that the climate fraud will not cease till “someone is prosecuted” and he goes on:
In the corporate world, economies with the truth on the systematic and ruthless scale evident in the untruthful comments of the half-dozen “scientists” we have named and shamed here would be severely dealt with.
The crafty misrepresentations, the outright falsehoods, the artful misquotations and deliberately incomplete quotations, the unproven assertions, the readiness to criticize a paper that several of these creatures can be proven not to have read, the claims to knowledge they do not possess: these and multiple other instances of gross misconduct would not be tolerated outside the ivy-covered walls of academe.
These anti-scientists, these perpetrators who have gotten the facts so relentlessly and often deliberately wrong, must expect to raise a suspicion in some minds that they had misbehaved either for some political objective or for the sake of maintaining a profitable income-stream from the governments they have panicked, or both.
The cost of the climate fraud to taxpayers runs to the tens of billions a year. It is the biggest fraud in history. So far, the fraudsters have proven untouchable. The public authorities, even when confronted with the plainest of evidence, have carefully looked the other way.
It is not for us to say whether the “scientists” whose untruths we have exposed here were fools or knaves or both. We report: you decide. But allowing the UN to establish an unelected, unaccountable, all-powerful global climate tyranny at Paris this December on the basis of “science” as shoddy and unprincipled as this would be a costly and – as our peer-reviewed paper at www.scibull.com has definitively established – entirely unnecessary mistake.
Whether fools or knaves, we cannot trust them until they rehabilitate themselves. I’m talking about the scientists; but the politicians, academics and public servants must be removed from office.
– H/T Maggy Wassilieff
1 Some of these bad things were taken from a gigantic collection at A (Not Quite) Complete List Of Things Supposedly Caused By Global Warming. ↩