Though untruth be widely believed, it will never be true. Since open-minded people can be too busy to research complex climate issues, the CCG helps by presenting reliable fact and comment with links to sources. We strive to understand the ill-conceived global warming campaign, describe it accurately yet memorably, expose distortions that poison the policy debate, give easily assimilable descriptions of climate’s complexity and provide perspective.
Most national leaders have been convinced by the UN climate crusade that human activities are dangerously warming the earth, but the theory of man-made climate change is soaked in error. Giving a patina of scientific justification to the UN’s scandalous campaign (‘fight climate change’—how’s that for far-fetched?) has necessitated nothing less than the corruption of science.
There is literally no evidence of a dangerous human influence on global temperature, now or in the future, but the UN is determined that countries form climate policy on the basis of their fraudulent theory. Nobody describes this better than retired Canadian climatology professor Tim Ball.
Journalists, op-ed writers and other activists prop up the illusory climate science with ever-more-alarming phantom crises. This was the case three days ago with John Vidal, the Guardian’s environment editor, whom the Herald merrily republished, claiming that human activities create ‘strange’ weather.
But there’s nothing strange about temperature changes, more rain or less rain, droughts, hurricanes, heat waves or any other kind of weather—changes in all of which remain stubbornly within natural limits of variability (for all the expensive resources devoted to discovering otherwise). But the likes of Vidal and his editors conjure terror from every breeze. When the distortions in his account are corrected, the false scientific underpinnings of the UN’s ridiculous climate crusade are destroyed. What does he say?
John Vidal 1: December temperatures in London have been warmer than July’s.
Literally true, but a gross distortion, for it applies only to a few data points, not monthly averages, and only July’s coldest days. Temperatures in July on average are about 12°C higher than in December (http://www.holiday-weather.com/london/averages/), but on a few days this year the highest December temperatures overlapped a little with the lowest July temperatures (http://www.weatheronline.co.uk/weather/maps/city). It happens most years. In 1985 there was a greater overlap than this, and on more days. But then the December temperatures plunged to -5°C.
JV2: Scotland is balmier than Barcelona.
I can find no evidence for that. Long-term records show annual temperatures in Edinburgh range from 3°C to 15°C (http://www.holiday-weather.com/edinburgh/averages/). Annual temperatures in Barcelona range from 10°C to 24°C (http://www.holiday-weather.com/barcelona/averages/). Vidal may have found a day or two where these ranges overlap, but he won’t say so explicitly, because it would make his exaggeration obvious. The statement is clearly a fabrication.
JV3: Artificial snow covers European ski slopes.
Resorts in Finland, Norway and Sweden have mostly avoided the unusually mild air streaming over Europe for the past four weeks (http://www.telegraph.co.uk/travel/snowandski/skiing-news/10562895/Ski-snow-forecast-and-reports.html). The winter is young; randomly shifting air currents and a mild start to winter have nothing to do with man-made global warming.
JV4: Africa faces its worst food crisis in a generation as floods and droughts strike vulnerable countries.
This blames the food crisis on new-fangled man-made global warming instead of old-fashioned man-made violence. According to the UN Food and Agriculture Organization and the World Food Program in a report cited in the Wall Street Journal in May this year (http://www.wsj.com/articles/number-of-african-countries-facing-severe-food-shortages-doubles-1432831465), “the number of African countries facing severe food shortages has doubled over the past two decades, as extreme weather conditions, natural disasters and insurgencies disrupt farming across the continent.” Food insecurity in country after country is blamed on political instability, civil strife, conflicts and violence. The UN report on extreme weather events (SREX, 2012 – pdf, 31MB) officially takes catastrophic global warming off the table; it’s not even certain of a warming trend since 1950. The report says no dominant anthropogenic influence is expected for at least 20 or 30 years. So the latest African food crisis has no connection with man-made global warming.
JV5: With unusual weather from Britain and France to Australia and New Zealand, scientists are blaming climate change – but also the natural phenomenon called El Nino, which is raising temperatures and disrupting weather patterns.
Who could disagree? The ENSO (El Niño Southern Oscillation), aided perhaps by a microscopic human influence, completely dwarfs other climatic influences and causes periodic temporary warming or cooling. There’s even a paper on it. Vidal seems to give up the fight here.
JV6: A double whammy then, but how disturbed should we be as the records tumble?
We shouldn’t be a bit disturbed. The records ‘tumble’ by a mere few hundredths of a degree (it’s not measured, only calculated from averages). Such a small temperature difference is undetectable.
JV7: Britain’s Met Office says the exceptional warmth in Britain and northern continental Europe is linked to the strongest El Nino ever recorded.
El Niño conditions are present and expected to remain strong until a transition to ENSO-neutral conditions about March. There is no evidence that the current El Nino is anywhere near the strength of the 1997/98 El Nino. This is wishful thinking.
Each of Vidal’s first seven statements is wrong. They exhibit woeful scholarship or perhaps the intention to mislead. Whichever it is, who would trust him?