Malice aforethought

High Court Auckland

The High Court at Auckland. Scene of some famous trials.

Unmannerly enmity from Grimes

Gareth Renowden (or, as I picture him, Grimes the shambling truffle grubber) puts poison to his pen once again. His target, again, is the NZ Climate Science Coalition (the coalition), this time in the person of our chairman, the Hon Barry Brill, and the NZ Climate Science Education Trust (CSET).

In an abandonment of proper sceptical debate Grimes is destitute of reason, good sense and evidence.

Grimes the STG says: “despite initiating the legal case and orchestrating the trust’s attempts to avoid meeting its liabilities,” Barry Brill “is flying off to Las Vegas to speak at the latest climate crank networking event organised by far-right US lobby group the Heartland Institute.”

Well, so he is; he paid his fares, paid his fees and off he shortly flies. The suggestion that “Brill’s travel expenses are likely to have been funded by Heartland” is a fantasy, for I asked him and he said they’re not—and if they had been, what of it?

There is no “despite,” for nothing connects the legal case with the conference or its costs except Grimes’ over-eager spleen. His libellous title trumpets “Brill’s bills still unpaid” even though Mr Brill has nothing to pay, no matter how earnestly Grimes wishes that he had. But he immediately admits that Judge Venning ordered costs against the trust, not against Barry. So it can’t be a mistake, his title tells outright lies—which I suppose at least ensures consistency with his text.

The incendiary reference to “the trust’s attempts to avoid meeting its liabilities” I will address shortly.

Grimes makes a spiteful search for deceit among our innocent arrangements, to wit:

Did Sissons represent the CSET pro bono? On the face of it, that seems unlikely. If he did not, was he paid by Brill, the trustees or a third party, and why was that not recorded by the Trust as expenditure on their activities?

Well, not at all unlikely, Grimes, you’re wrong again, for Terry Sissons readily assures me that he did indeed represent the CSET pro bono; let it go, Grimes—however much it pains you. Even if Mr Sissons had been paid by a benefactor, whether recorded in the trust’s books or not, what business is it of yours?

Grimes blathers on with his repugnantly hollow insinuations, contends the liquidator’s report “raises serious questions about the way that the case was funded” (as though acts of charity are now prohibited) and blithely claims “the evidence is damning” without suggesting an offence for which he might be damned. What an empty head he has.

He makes an excursion into Bryan Leyland’s comments, concluding: “Either Leyland was misleading the Sunday Star Times, or he was misleading the official liquidator.” How about citing what Leyland actually told the liquidators, Grimes? How else are we to judge his statements misleading? You’re making stuff up. This is unpersuasive nonsense, especially as “large” has no standard definition—the fees Barry Brill paid are readily described as large.

Grimes’ insalubrious craving to find fault in us doesn’t just overreach the evidence—it invents evidence.

Expense of justice means justice denied

It might surprise you to know (and it will certainly surprise Grimes) that the coalition tried very hard to avoid court proceedings. For example, we asked NIWA for documents under the Official Information Act but they gave us nothing. Six times we wrote to the chairman of NIWA urging an investigation and offering to meet. Why did Chris Mace refuse to meet with us?

We prepared lengthy and detailed formal documents (like the Audit) and forwarded them to NIWA’s chairman and lawyers seeking reactions. Nobody answered us. Why did Chris Mace refuse to talk to us?

Incredibly, and to what must be NIWA’s undying shame, it finally dawned on us that they had no record of the national temperature series (7SS) or what went into it, and they didn’t understand it. That’s why they gave us no documents describing what lay behind this important piece of public science. Losing work funded by taxpayers is the most disgraceful incompetence.

Grimes has never grasped the fact that before the coalition could file the suit against NIWA it had to create the CSET to comply with the law. It would have made the judge seriously angry had we brought a suit in the High Court on behalf of something that doesn’t exist. The unincorporated coalition is a mixed grouping without formal structure. No regular meetings, no elections, and so on.

Grimes would have us believe that the trust was nothing but a knavish trick by the coalition to cheat the taxpayer out of their rightful coin should the judge order costs against it. But the very law itself required it of us. Grimes must have missed my previous explanation of this in 2012, and this.

NIWA gave up the chance of security

For the love of reason, Grimes, renounce this false and preposterous accusation “that the CSET was formed … as a cover to protect the litigants from the financial consequences of failure.”

Then go talk to a lawyer, to whom it stands out plainly: If NIWA had been concerned about the trust’s ability to meet a costs order it could have applied for security for costs in advance of the hearing. It clearly failed to do this.

So NIWA applied to the court to appoint a liquidator to examine the trust’s accounts. Now Grimes whines that the liquidator’s report “makes it obvious that the CSET was formed with the express intention of bringing the court action.” (Yes!) It’s taken him a long time, but let us hope he’s finally got it.

So we’re ‘avoiding liabilities’ are we? We’ve certainly complied with the law, and we can’t be blamed simply for not being wealthy, as far as I know. But let’s examine that huge liability of about $90,000 for costs.

NIWA’s high-handed attitude

First, negotiations to settle the case were scuttled by NIWA insisting on a legally-enforceable covenant that the trustees and solicitor for the trust must never again criticise NIWA’s scientific methods or even raise questions about them, in any forum. That proposed gag order must be a new high-water mark for lack of accountability by public servants. I want to amplify and justify this important aspect soon.

Second, cloaking a crown enterprise in the garb of a company—a commercial entity—may seem to be a good idea. It enables staff to be employed in a completely commercial way, on normal terms and conditions and at normal salary levels. So the enterprise can get the best people the market can provide. Able to negotiate on its own account with suppliers and customers alike, it will obtain the best deals available.

But there are two important drawbacks.

  1. The staff, though public servants in all but name, are exempt from conventional rules of public service conduct.
  2. The responsible minister, representing the government as the real owner, is divorced from day-to-day running of the ‘company’ and has no power to compel the board either to reprimand the staff or direct them to act as he requires.

Thus modern public servants gain a convenient shelter from those who question their work. The failure of various of its ministers to control these powerful NIWA scientists and require of them a compliance with basic courtesy in dealing with the public should have rung alarm bells in Wellington since about November 2009 (when we published Are we feeling warmer yet?).

Any beneficiary with a $350 problem with WINZ can make use of its dispute resolution process. Whatever’s required in the way of evidence, professional advice or even counselling is made available to every naïve citizen who has fallen afoul of some process or principle of our welfare system. Similar facilities are widely available in other government departments. To emphasise that public services are meant for the service of the public, the Official Information Act declares information must be more readily released than withheld.

That seems not to be the case with Crown enterprises. NIWA chose to retain very expensive legal advisers rather than face the irritating consequences of details of a) the national temperature record or b) the laxity of NIWA scientists in handling the national temperature record from reaching the public domain.

Our case against NIWA was not decided on its merits but on technicalities like the qualifications of witnesses, interpretation of the duties of Crown enterprises and the principle (erroneously applied in parts of this case) of courts eschewing judgement in scientific matters. The substance of our suit, which was the accuracy of NIWA’s adjustments, went all unheeded—regardless of Grimes’ crowing our ‘defeat’.

Costs artificially inflated

This dispute was necessarily conducted, imperfectly and to nobody’s satisfaction, in a court of law, simply because NIWA is not obliged to set up a dispute resolution service such as WINZ has done and chose just to keep saying ‘no’. Nobody came forward to prevent this and even the judge would not stand against them.

Thus when the time came for the judge to award costs, they were astronomically higher than they needed to be. All because NIWA simply refused our simple requests for information.

Note that their general manager, their board and their chairman are impotent to compel out-of-control NIWA managers and scientists to act reasonably. Why would they want to keep these temperature details secret and why should they be permitted to? But their senior management thought it a good idea, and it seems even the two ministers holding the NIWA reins, Bill English and Steven Joyce, cannot control them either.

Grimes claims our duty is to pay the costs, but NIWA inflated them beyond all expectation by employing top lawyers. Had we been dealing with WINZ (for all its faults, still a genuine public service), it would have borne the costs, because it accepts that answering legitimate queries is its duty. It would not have punished bona fide applicants merely for disputing.

NIWA might engage expensive legal teams to repel disputants (rather than simply answering their embarrassing questions) and nobody disputes their right to spend ‘their’ money like that, but once costs have been awarded, suddenly it’s public money we’re making off with, turning us into knaves and scoundrels. This is not reality but an enchanted castle. Or a disenchanted one.

NIWA can use public funds to employ top-notch lawyers to protect its staff and conceal its activities from the public it serves. What it does and what it knows can be hidden behind a veil of “commercial sensitivity” even when it’s clearly in the national interest to be disclosed, such as the national temperature record and the adjustments made to it.

Coalition scientists work part-time with no compensation, and what they achieved is remarkable—they forced NIWA to recreate the national temperature record. They achieved this with careful mathematical work and made full disclosure of their work.

On the other hand, NIWA is a public department with a multi-million dollar budget. It works behind a commercial stockade to keep critics out and spend taxpayer’s money in huge amounts to duck its responsibilities when it wants to. It performs public service science but it pretends to be a private company.

That’s a disguise not many people have identified. But identified or not, it still hides what NIWA scientists are up to and it shields them from the wrath of the public and even their own ministers.

We are minnows, NIWA is an orca

Ask what it’s hiding, Grimes!

Grimes/Renowden ends with a statement of Barry Brill’s “stupid, self-serving and politically-motivated legal action.”

On stupid: tell us what adjustment method NIWA used, Gareth.
On self-serving: tell us the selfishness in paying the application fees and sticking his neck out—it was courageous.
On politically-motivated: tell us what the motive was.

 

14 Thoughts on “Malice aforethought

  1. Bob D on July 1, 2014 at 8:29 am said:

    Good one, RT.

  2. Richard C (NZ) on July 1, 2014 at 9:15 am said:

    Fortunately, NIWA isn’t entwined in a political “de-development” of the nation as the rogue EPA (an agency) is in the US at the behest of the Obama administration.

    But the parallel of congress’ inability to rein in the EPA (and the many other legal actions ensuing) is very similar to NZ minister’s inability to exercise any directive for NIWA (and the ensuing legal action). NIWA’s status being comparable to an agency. But for NIWA in NZ — they shouldn’t require it. This isn’t litigation-rife USA, or it wasn’t. Maybe it is now thanks to NIWA’s attitude.

    >”We prepared lengthy and detailed formal documents (like the Audit)”

    Which still stands as a valid alternative series to NIWA’s NZT7. The court decision didn’t nullify it and NIWA can’t escape that fact. Given NIWA are still withholding their own basis in literature, their series has lessor validity.

  3. Alexander K on July 1, 2014 at 9:15 am said:

    A very thorough and accurate piece, Richard.
    When dealing with the usually-valueless output Renowden and those of similar mindset produce to keep their followers salivating, there is no point in becoming heated as Renowden et al are defintely not worth the energy generated, so it’s great that you stayed cool. Much more effective than shouting at them, too!

  4. Richard C (NZ) on July 1, 2014 at 9:34 am said:

    >”Given NIWA are still withholding their own basis in literature, their series has lessor validity.”

    But it’s what represents NZ in HadCRUT4.

  5. Simon on July 1, 2014 at 2:40 pm said:

    Trustees can be held financially liable for any decisions the Trust makes:
    http://pundit.co.nz/content/debts-and-lies-are-generally-mixed-together

  6. Bob D on July 1, 2014 at 3:25 pm said:

    Simon, your link doesn’t say that, it’s just a bunch of alarmists conjecturing about what is clearly a very murky legal area.

  7. Mike Jowsey on July 1, 2014 at 7:53 pm said:

    +1

  8. Andy on July 1, 2014 at 8:12 pm said:

    I found this piece written by Andrew Geddis (author of the piece cited by Simon) dating back to 2013

    Citizens must speak up to protect the constitution when the Government fails to do so, says Andrew Geddis.

    Given our constitution’s unwritten and often opaque nature, it is easy to take it for granted. That makes it all the more important to take notice when one of the fundamental pillars of that arrangement starts getting chipped away at.
    http://www.nzherald.co.nz/nz/news/article.cfm?c_id=1&objectid=10885186

    Obviously, the subject matter is somewhat different, but the principles seem similar, to my naive “denier” mind.

  9. Richard C (NZ) on July 2, 2014 at 1:25 pm said:

    Mike, re Alexander’s “there is no point in becoming heated as Renowden et al are”

    Are you following the JoNova series. If so, how’s your popcorn stocks?

    I expected a procession of warmies doing their ignorant spoiler best and sure enough they’ve had their tree shaken enough to turn up (ironically it’s not them leading the contra N-D debate – it’s the sceptical and I’m one of them). But they’re nothing compared with recent “sceptic” ranting. Check out this “30 Star” comment, coincidentally at #30, in the latest thread (which is a real eye-opener all through):

    Richard Case #30
    July 2, 2014 at 3:04 am · Reply

    I get the disagreements. That’s science. What I don’t get are the absoluteness, the lack of humbleness and humility, and the overall lack of respect and common courtesy. We’ve all grown to expect it with the AGWers, but I’ve always held respect for the folks who’ve been the skeptics. Am I imagining things, have things just gotten uglier in the past few weeks? It was surprising to see such from Lubos last week, and then Anthony’s ugliness with Goddard, and now Svalgaard’s and Willis’ dismissive putdowns? What gives? Is it not enough to simply suggest that a method might not be appropriate or a result to be interpreted incorrectly, and then to provide a reasonable explanation why? Why do these extremely bright people need to resort to saying that other bright people’s work is “worthless”, “rubbish” or a “joke”.

    Willis says in a comment to Jo and David at WUWT : “I’m sad to see you and David Evans and Joanne taking up the habits of Mann and Jones…” . Ironic, as Willis seems to have taken up their habit of verbally trashing someone whose work he doesn’t agree with

    http://joannenova.com.au/2014/07/the-solar-model-finds-a-big-fall-in-tsi-data-that-few-seem-to-know-about/#comment-1499879

    And this 38 “Thumbs Up” comment at #3.2

    Truthseeker
    July 1, 2014 at 11:09 pm

    It is getting more and more clear that WUWT have become a victim of their own success and have decided to be the gatekeeper for all that is “skeptical”. They are hypocritically performing the same restrictive agenda control that they have accused the alarmists of on many occasions. The following shows a consistent theme;

    1. Willis making a fool of himself in trying to debunk the work of Nikolov and Zeller (which they themselves said was in a very early stage of development).
    2. Anthony having a hissy fit because Roger (Tallbloke’s Talkshop) alerted N&Z to Willis’s post so that they could prepare a response … what a crime! (/sarc).
    3. Anthony refusing to let any “Slayer” arguments to be even aired on the site
    4. WUWT only accepting Leif Svalgaard’s view of the workings of the solar system as shown by a consistent dismissal of the growing number of orbital patterns found by Roger and his compatriots
    5. The whole “Pattern Recognition in Physics” special edition fiasco where the WUWT fell for the three-card trick performed by the alarmist thought-police.
    6. Tallbloke’s Talkshop – an award winning blog as voted by the general public – listed as “Transcendent Rant and way out there theory” in the WUWT blog roll.
    7. The complete misunderstanding and public dissing of Steven Goddard’s thorough and detailed work about the fabricating of USHCN land temperature data which he then had to back-track and apologise for.
    8. Within the apology for number 7, were statements about how Steven was “wrong” on a number of previous occasions, all of which just showed Anthony’s lack of English comprehension.
    9. This latest episode of the WUWT crowd dissing without understanding the new work being put forward by David and Jo.

    Clearly you can only be skeptical if you are the right type of skeptic …

    http://joannenova.com.au/2014/07/the-solar-model-finds-a-big-fall-in-tsi-data-that-few-seem-to-know-about/#comment-1499728

    I’ve been trying to address the (solar-temperature) issues at JoNova directly but all the ranting and ad hom’s means wading through screeds of garbage. Fortunately there’s rational people in the discussion.

    Sad those appeals for cool heads are to sceptics on a global scale when in this local NZCSET v NIWA situation, the appeal although of a similar note, is between rather different parties.

  10. Richard C (NZ) on July 2, 2014 at 1:35 pm said:

    Amazing arrogance and pomposity #32.1.1.1 below Jo Nova’s challenge:

    Leif Svalgaard
    July 2, 2014 at 4:41 am

    who are you?

    http://joannenova.com.au/2014/07/the-solar-model-finds-a-big-fall-in-tsi-data-that-few-seem-to-know-about/#comment-1499938

    In response to:

    Backslider
    July 2, 2014 at 4:28 am

    Ok then, please elaborate on:

    “almost fraudulent – as there clearly is an agenda here”

  11. Mike Jowsey on July 2, 2014 at 2:06 pm said:

    Hi Richard, yes I have been watching the debates and the unfolding story with great interest. You seem to be right in the thick of it and have had some politely spirited volleys with a couple of commenters as knowlegeable as yourself about these things. I myself am oblivious to the technicalities of notch filters and the various statistical techniques. But the discussion is interesting, particularly as you note, it seems to bring out a dark side in people I traditionally held in high regard due to their apparent tolerance and respect. Willis and Anthony prime examples. Maybe it’s a luke-warmer thing? Dunno, but my popcorn stocks are getting low.

    Meanwhile I think that the courage of David Evans to do what he has done is laudable. He has generated a lot of discussion from every angle – the whole spectrum is represented. Some of it is ugly, but some adds to the understanding and one must apply one’s own notch filter to maintain equilibrium.

  12. Mike Jowsey on July 2, 2014 at 2:21 pm said:

    This comment well sums it up for me….

    john robertson
    July 2, 2014 at 3:47 am · Reply

    If you are taking flack, you must be closing in on the target.
    I have no idea as to the “correctness” of this theory, but it fits my understanding of systems and cyclic behaviour.
    So I am biased toward attempting to comprehend.
    You have encapsulated the Feynman Approach in this roll out and I like it.
    As you correctly surmised, far too many would glom onto segments of the picture and react without further thought.
    A good guess,as certain as noting how few of the Alarmed Ones have actually read the IPCC reports.
    Chiefio has made some inspired posts on the lunar influence, the way the tidal effect drives ocean currents.
    The solar-earth-planets electro-magnetic mechanisms also seem a logical source of heat to us who fight these effects at the small scale in industry.
    Ditto the heating effect of induced currents through a semiconducting medium.
    The certainty of the “Team Consensus” has always offended me, as we live on a water world.
    Dismissing the lag effects of 70% of our planetary surface is just stupid.

    As for the flame war at WUWT, this will self correct.
    Big ego’s are needed to challenge authority and orthodoxy and eventually they will collide.This is our nature.
    Also as Pointman has hit on, what you fight you become, after 25 years of resisting the arrogance, ignorance and ugliness of the Team IPCC ™ there will be scars.
    A certain staleness has pervaded the sceptical blogs of late, I suffer an”Enough Already” attitude toward the consensus propaganda and media that carry it.
    Since Climate gate and the fine work of Climate Audit I am sorry but my mind is made up(mostly certain), the people in our governments who are promoting the CAGW scheme are fools or bandits.
    CAGW is an intelligence test.
    My only question is ; “When do we fire those who fail it?”

    http://joannenova.com.au/2014/07/the-solar-model-finds-a-big-fall-in-tsi-data-that-few-seem-to-know-about/#comment-1499902

  13. Richard C (NZ) on July 2, 2014 at 7:00 pm said:

    Yes Mike, so much being written that strikes a chord. that can resonate either way.

    >”If you are taking flack, you must be closing in on the target.”

    That’s the thing. Whether it’s NZCSET v NIWA, NZCSC v the likes of Renowden et al, solar + CO2 sceptics v CO2 + Luke warm faction. The threat of being unseated raises hackles when the probing gets uncomfortable or there’s someone else on the scientific or intellectual high ground (legal high ground ‘nuther story).

    >”Dismissing the lag effects of 70% of our planetary surface is just stupid”

    Only some do. I’ve been looking at studies that don’t including CO2-centric. David took his oceanic response cue from a CO2-centric paper (Schwartz 2007) that finds an oceanic response that David regards as coinciding with his N-D solar-temperature lag. I think he’s interpreted that paper incorrectly (see below).

    Apart from the N-D that I regard as invalid (11 yr cyclicity is evident in globally averaged datasets e.g. GISTEMP despite DE’s analysis and he’s evading this) but semi-effective, planetary thermal lag is the big issue overhanging predictive skill of DE’s model. David effectively (not his view) has an 11 yr solar-temperature thermal lag but other studies indicate longer than that i.e. he misses oceanic “damping” occurring past that timeframe because he doesn’t think there’s any other response via the ocean than what he’s already captured by low pass filter. I think he’s made private communications that indicate he might have to shift his position on that.

    Lag via the ocean can be described by “characterizations”. This from my latest comment #40.1.2.2 Part VIII:

    First characterization:

    Time Constant (yrs)

    4 < τ < 17 Schwartz
    6 < τ < 12 Scafetta and West

    10.5 Schwartz
    9 Scafetta and West

    Second characterization:

    Lag (yrs)

    τ is approx 63.2% of lag (final asymptotic value). Therefore the respective lags are:

    6.3 < lag < 26.9 Schwartz
    9.5 < lag < 19 Scafetta and West

    16.6 yrs Schwartz
    14.3 yrs Scafetta and West
    14 yrs Abdussamatov

    Third characterization:

    Equilibrium (yrs)

    The ocean requires several decades for reaching a thermodynamic equilibrium with a change in the forcing (20 yrs +/- oceanic lag, Abdussamatov).

    http://joannenova.com.au/2014/06/are-transfer-functions-meaningless-the-white-noise-point-beware-your-assumptions/#comment-1500303

    Time constant τ (tau),

    Physically, the constant represents the time it takes the system’s step response to reach 1-1/e, approx 63.2% of its final (asymptotic) value

    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Time_constant

    David's 11 yr lag is only a little more than the 2 time constants. His 11 yr lag is short of the 3 lags. His 11 yr lag doesn't capture any of the ocean heat accumulation (and the reverse) implied by equilibrium taking decades .

  14. Alexander K on July 3, 2014 at 3:46 pm said:

    Apropos the heat generated by the stuff coming from Jo |Nova and her other half and directed at them: I have been saddenned by the general nastiness from people who have, over the years I have been aware of them, acted as models of proper scientific behaviour.
    To paraphrase one of the commenters at Jo Nova’s marvellous site ‘Humans are bloody scary and irrational creatures’.

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