Now we have the NZ Herald echoing Hot Topic’s posts from Sciblogs. Man, the Herald have really burned their bridges on impartiality, haven’t they? By patronising Hot Topic they unquestionably declare their belief in the non-science of dangerous anthropogenic global warming.
Don’t expect any material from them in the near future to be critical of the now-established doctrine of climate change according to the IPCC.
Comments on poll uncover Hot Topic’s dearth of science
Yesterday, they published an article by Bryan Walker, one of Gareth’s support writers, Ask me why – polling the public on climate change. The first thing Bryan does is denigrate the organisation behind the poll; good one, Bryan, ignore the issue — go straight for the man.
Note also Walker’s disconnect from the real world where people must make a living:
But their notion of what constitutes appropriate measures is severely constrained by their determination to protect what they call the competitiveness of all sectors of NZ industry.
“What they call” competitiveness? He says that as though it’s a bad thing. Bryan, open your eyes — it IS competitiveness and ours will suffer when we are forced into paying a tax our competitors don’t have to. This is precisely what is happening, since New Zealand is going hell-for-leather for an ETS without any of our trading partners doing the same. Except for Europe, which is governed by non-elected bureaucrats in Brussels intent upon destroying civilisation, which hardly makes it a sensible model.
Do business without a profit?
The government has been talking for some time about “trade-exposed” industries and giving them some relief from the ETS; this is what they mean, Bryan. Even the government “calls it” competitiveness. It’s a good thing. To people who can think.
What are you trying to say? That our businesses shouldn’t be competitive? That they shouldn’t protect their profit-making capacity? How astonishing. Why ever not?
The Greenhouse Policy Coalition poll shows some important attitudes towards global warming gradually changing in New Zealand, but it’s interesting to hear Walker blame the results on the government:
Given the tepid policies being advanced by the government, the results of the commissioned poll are probably not surprising.
And he claims:
Public opinion is not being informed of the seriousness of climate change.
Well, I tend to agree, though “public opinion” is also having the actual facts of “climate change” withheld from it, which is far more damaging.
Still, having explained the problem, he offers no improvement and gives no information for the poll’s respondents to change their minds.
I encourage Mr Walker not to be bashful about releasing the evidence he claims for what he calls the “ineluctable science”. For, though he writes constantly of global warming and its predicted effects, he offers no evidence that mankind causes it or that it will ever be dangerous. This article is no different.
Meanwhile all the directly measurable effects continue – global temperature rises inexorably, Arctic summer sea ice diminishes with unexpected speed, ice sheets in Greenland and Antarctica continue to lose mass. And the less specific predictions of increased wildfires, floods and droughts show every sign of coming to pass. Positive feedback loops loom in the shadows.
His list of effects might be evidence of warming; but not that the warming is man-made or dangerous — surely I’m not the only one to notice. Anyway, each one of his “effects” is either misleading or wrong. I’ll show you:
Global temperature is rising
This is at least controversial, since the only thing rising is the 30-year trend line – the temperatures themselves are actually declining. Over the last 12 years the satellite readings show a cooling trend. Temperatures were flat for seven years before plunging during 2008-09. They’ve only just briefly got back up to about where they were in 1998 — 12 years ago. Hardly “inexorable” warming.
Of course, carbon dioxide continues gently rising, probably partly driven out of the ocean by the slight warming of late last century, but who knows?
Arctic ice diminishes with unexpected speed
He mentions the Arctic summer ice but strangely not the Antarctic sea ice, the extent of which reached a record high this year. Does that signal global cooling? Just four days ago, a peer-reviewed paper, Holocene fluctuations in Arctic sea-ice cover: dinocyst-based reconstructions for the eastern Chukchi Sea, reported more arctic ice now than for about 9000 years.
Greenland, Antarctica lose mass
Mr Walker claims ice sheets are losing mass, and they are, although not very fast. Not three weeks ago a team of Dutch and US scientists reported “Estimates of the rate of ice loss from Greenland and West Antarctica should be halved.” Apparently previous papers forgot to allow for glacial isostatic adjustment (the Earth’s crust rebounding from the last Ice Age).
In February of this year, the Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution reported that “waters from warmer latitudes — or subtropical waters — are reaching Greenland’s glaciers, driving melting and likely triggering an acceleration of ice loss.” In other words, glacial melting is not caused only by warm air.
One must remember to ask, too: is “loss of mass” the same as “melting”? Of course it is not, for it might be caused by “less snow falling”, which is more likely to be caused by a cooling climate than a warming climate, which tends to increase precipitation.
Wildfires, floods, droughts
Mr Walker reaches the nadir of his science in the final two sentences, wherein he shamelessly mentions alarming weather events (which by definition are not climate) and hints at their future increase. We can believe such predictions are “less specific”, but must wonder what is meant that they “show every sign” of coming to pass. To what mysterious predictive evidence is he referring and why doesn’t he describe it?
It’s the kind of thing you say when you don’t have any evidence for saying it.
No evidence at all
Mark Serreze, director of the National Snow and Ice Data Center at the University of Colorado at Boulder, commenting in July on the northern winter’s big chill, reminds us: “What we saw last winter was just weather. The current heat wave is also weather.” Which means extreme weather events do not prove climate change – whether warming or cooling.
Then Walker says cryptically: “Positive feedback loops loom in the shadows.”
But by now he’s given up all pretence of evidence and resorts to nothing more than a rude attempt to alarm us.